Would you like to have a winning connection for long shots? Let’s face it, while it’s nice to be able to make a profit picking winners, there’s nothing like making that big score with a horse at a huge price. It’s an ego boost and an increase in bankroll. Simply put, long shots are where the big money is in horse racing.
But cashing in a grand prize ticket isn’t easy, even though high-priced horses win every day. Simply betting on a horse because it has a high odds is financial suicide. Still, there are people who make a living playing strictly long shots and that’s because they know the secrets.
While the best way to find a good winner is to be on the inside and meet the owner, trainer, jockey, in other words the connections, the next best thing is to be on the outside but figure them out anyway. How do you discover the secret and know when these people are setting up a good winner? The answer is that the profiles.
Profiling, in horse racing handicap, is to detect a circumstance that occurs more than once. First, write as much as you can about an unlikely shot that just won. What kind of race it was, the age of the horse (let’s be real, some trainers are great with maidens or young horses), the odds on the morning line, and the odds at post time.
Those are just some of the things to write down. The best way to really hunt down longshots and make lots of winning bets is to keep the show page and past performances with the longshot and then compare it to the next horse that has the owner-jockey-trainer combo.
People are creatures of habit and when they discover something that works, they do it over and over again. For example, a horse might do some bullet work, but then at his next race, despite getting off to a good start, he fades down the stretch. The question is, of course, was the rider really trying to win, or was he told to hold back? That bullet job may have lowered the odds more than the connections wanted and they may be waiting until their next race to score big with higher odds.
Your job is to be a detective and detect that situation. The thing is, every long shot, like every other horse in the race, leaves a paper trail. Most handicappers don’t look at the road to see a repeating pattern. If you do this, you can develop a list of trainers and owners who perform these types of stunts over and over again and you’ll know when to gamble just by recognizing the pattern.
Does finding good unlikely bets work? Sure it is, but it’s worth it. It all starts with the connections and they are listed on the show for all the world to see. So why is it a secret? Because most people are too lazy to take the time to take good notes on unlikely shots and pay attention to those connections the next time they have a horse running.
Naturally, all the horses that have to go out at high odds will not win, but there will be a pattern to the race lines and betting patterns that you can spot and after a while, you will have a list of money. manufacturers that will keep you in the short lane.
Enjoy your days at the races.