We picked the Milwaukee Brewers on September 15, 2005 as our Game of the Month for September and saw them pull out 7 runs in the top of the 3rd inning to take an early 9-0 lead. They increased that lead to 12-0 in the fourth. This was child’s play and one of our easiest Game of the Month predictions.
Not only were the odds on these Brewers better than any standard basketball game, but the odds of them winning were higher than any NBA basketball game I tried last season. We looked at this game from a multitude of angles and saw absolutely no reason why these Brewers should have gone -104.
The spread for this game was set so low because the Brewers are not a team that is going to be supported by gamblers, especially on the road.
First, the Brewers have been playing well after winning 6 L10 games against the struggling Diamondbacks of the weak NL West. The Brewers are an over-500 team against the NL West. Home field advantage is a legitimate argument in some cases, but not here. The Diamondbacks are a dismal 30-41 at home. They have a better road record.
Second, the Brewers are motivated by their loss last night. They lost in extra innings 2-1 with plenty of chances to win the game. Ricki Weeks single-handedly lost them that game by having 7 LOBs and runners in scoring position multiple times with less than 2 out. He went 5-0.
Third, the Brewers showed positive signs offensively as their meat of the order stepped up for all but a couple of hits. All it took was a couple of hits from the bottom or top of the orders to really make a run to get a ton of runs. The fact that they couldn’t do this last night actually bodes well for them today, as they will focus on their offense and really shut down.
Fourth, the Brewers sent Tomo Ohka, who has been a gem for them this season. In his only outing against the Diamondbacks, he allowed just 1 earned run and 4 hits in a 3-0 losing cause. He pitched very well, but his offense let him down. This is another motivating factor for the offense in this game.
Fifth, history was on our side, as a fantastic baseball betting system was uncovered that the Brewers were on the side of, indicating they were undervalued by about 50 points and should have been -160.
Blind betting systems may be good enough for your regular daily picks, but it’s important to combine that with seasonal trends and observations to really make a big play. As you can see, there were four strong arguments to make this a fantastic piece of work.